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Introduction
:
A real estate bubble or property
bubble (or housing bubble for residential markets) is a type
of economic bubble that occurs periodically in local or global
real estate markets. It is characterized by rapid speculative
increases in the valuations of real property such as housing
until they reach unsustainable levels relative to incomes
and other economic elements.
As of 2007, real estate bubbles
are widely believed to exist in many parts of the world, especially
in the United States, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland,
Spain, Poland, South Africa, Israel, India, Romania, South
Korea, and China. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
said in mid-2005 that "at a minimum, there's a little
'froth' (in the U.S. housing market).
Real estate bubbles are invariably
followed by severe price decreases (also known as a house
price crash) that can result in many owners holding negative
equity (a mortgage debt higher than the current value of the
property). As with any type of economic bubble, it is difficult
for many to identify except in hindsight, after the crash.
Unlike a stock market crash
following a bubble, a real-estate "crash" is usually
a slower process, because sellers prefer not to sell their
own homes. Due to inflation, prices generally do not fall
in nominal terms, rather they stay "flat" for a
period of 3-5 years[citation needed]. In some markets though,
housing prices have fallen in real and nominal dollars, such
as Los Angeles during the early to mid 1990s. However, with
the recent rapid run-up it is possible that national average
home prices to drop, because past performance is not a prediction
of the future.
Other sectors such as office,
hotel and retail generally move along with the residential
market, being affected by many of same variables (incomes,
interest rates, etc.) and also sharing the "wealth effect"
of booms. Therefore this article focuses on housing bubbles
and mentions other sectors only when their situation differs
from housing. |
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